Who's betting on “Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.7K by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $977 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $94 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $3.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $301
- Holders' win rate
- 39%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.4K on it
- 1Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$977+$104K lifetime
- 2Rex41653% won of 1,854 · whale$693+$33K lifetime
- 3NoTeacher66% won of 413 · balanced$330+$2.8K lifetime
- 4edge99959% won of 285 · balanced$315+$581 lifetime
- 5flywheelpoly68% won of 543$312−$6.3K lifetime
No$301 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$94+$203K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$59+$27K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$54+$255K lifetime
- 4okc354% won of 203 · noise$33+$524 lifetime
- 5rocky4201653% won of 688$21−$8.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Gemini Carbon released by...?
3 more- November 30$16K vol.Yes 89%No 12%Smart money: No
- October 31$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- November 15$11K vol.Yes 59%No 41%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $977 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $94 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.