Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 50 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $841 by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 42% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
42% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $841 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is felipe69, with $72 on it, $1.5K lifetime profit over 19 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is bipbipbop, with $206 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,875 markets (51% won).
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $402
- Holders' win rate
- 35%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $439
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$402 on it
- 1felipe6958% won of 19$72+$1.5K lifetime
- 2Mei-ji26% won of 1,004$39−$7.4K lifetime
- 3TweetPulse.Live11% won of 710$38−$4.2K lifetime
- 4hulitest202558% won of 1,808$32−$11K lifetime
- 5Poiuztrewq8% won of 553$30−$38K lifetime
No$439 on it
- 1bipbipbop51% won of 1,875 · whale$206+$106K lifetime
- 2hetacz28% won of 1,850 · noise$197+$19K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,227$20−$49K lifetime
- 4LazyJohnX100% won of 235$15−$161 lifetime
- 5SerjSerjSerjSerj75% won of 242$1+$5 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
22 more- 80-99$41K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 280-299$24K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- 160-179$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 180-199$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 500-519$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 200-219$21K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 320-339$21K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- 220-239$20K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 140-159$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 120-139$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 100-119$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 260-279$17K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- 240-259$16K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- 340-359$16K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money: No
- 380-399$15K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- 560-579$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 300-319$14K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- 580+$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 360-379$12K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- 440-459$11K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 400-419$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- 480-499$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $841 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is felipe69, with $72 on it, $1.5K lifetime profit over 19 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is bipbipbop, with $206 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,875 markets (51% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
42% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.