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Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?”?

Politics$21K traded84 holdersEnds November 3, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
1%Yes
99%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 61% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$21K
traded all time
Held now
$2.8K
by 84 wallets
Smart share · Yes
52%
69 scored holders
Smart share · No
61%
15 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

The smart money

52% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points.

Who holds it

84 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 84 of them. The largest Yes holder is hetacz, with $20 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 1,850 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is Houdray, with $994 on it, $22K lifetime profit over 1,089 markets (22% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share52%
Holders
69
Money on it
$164
Holders' win rate
30%
No99%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share61%
Holders
15
Money on it
$2.7K
Holders' win rate
51%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$164 on it

  1. 1hetacz28% won of 1,850 · noise$20+$19K lifetime
  2. 2Mei-ji26% won of 1,004$15−$7.4K lifetime
  3. 3TweetPulse.Live11% won of 710$14−$4.2K lifetime
  4. 4CaprioDiLeo45% won of 1,167 · whale$14+$11K lifetime
  5. 5Poiuztrewq8% won of 553$12−$38K lifetime

No$2.7K on it

  1. 1Houdray22% won of 1,089 · noise$994+$22K lifetime
  2. 2WaHoooo72% won of 320$832−$2.9K lifetime
  3. 3bipbipbop51% won of 1,875 · whale$249+$106K lifetime
  4. 4jooker202688% won of 407 · grinder$199+$198 lifetime
  5. 5edgewarehouse36% won of 12,342 · noise$142+$31K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?

84 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 84 of them. The largest Yes holder is hetacz, with $20 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 1,850 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is Houdray, with $994 on it, $22K lifetime profit over 1,089 markets (22% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

52% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.