Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 65 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.0K by 91 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 15% 71 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
15% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 78 points.
Who holds it
91 wallets hold a position worth $7.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is dddtrips, with $609 on it, $55K lifetime loss over 264 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is blisni, with $1.7K on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 381 markets (96% won).
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 36%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.7K on it
- 1dddtrips66% won of 264$609−$55K lifetime
- 2Poiuztrewq8% won of 553$390−$38K lifetime
- 3Mei-ji26% won of 1,004$318−$7.4K lifetime
- 4TweetPulse.Live11% won of 710$312−$4.2K lifetime
- 5hulitest202558% won of 1,808$234−$11K lifetime
No$3.3K on it
- 1blisni96% won of 381 · balanced$1.7K+$2.3K lifetime
- 2jfefgsgsw80% won of 135 · balanced$384+$1.9K lifetime
- 3valrewards72% won of 117$293−$121 lifetime
- 4hetacz28% won of 1,850 · noise$261+$19K lifetime
- 5Fesfouss60% won of 275$152−$35K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
22 more- 80-99$41K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 160-179$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 180-199$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 500-519$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 200-219$21K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 320-339$21K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- 220-239$20K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 140-159$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 120-139$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 100-119$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 260-279$17K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- 240-259$16K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- 340-359$16K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money: No
- 380-399$15K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- 560-579$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 300-319$14K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- 580+$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 420-439$13K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- 360-379$12K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- 440-459$11K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 400-419$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- 480-499$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?
91 wallets hold a position worth $7.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is dddtrips, with $609 on it, $55K lifetime loss over 264 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is blisni, with $1.7K on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 381 markets (96% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
15% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 78 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.