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Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?”?

Politics$14K traded93 holdersEnds November 3, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
18%Yes
83%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 67 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$14K
traded all time
Held now
$7.5K
by 93 wallets
Smart share · Yes
15%
71 scored holders
Smart share · No
82%
21 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

The smart money

15% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 67 points.

Who holds it

93 wallets hold a position worth $7.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is Poiuztrewq, with $525 on it, $38K lifetime loss over 553 markets (8% won). The largest No holder is hetacz, with $743 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 1,850 markets (28% won).

Yes18%
Smart money share15%
Holders
72
Money on it
$4.9K
Holders' win rate
33%
No83%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share82%
Holders
21
Money on it
$2.6K
Holders' win rate
54%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$4.9K on it

  1. 1Poiuztrewq8% won of 553$525−$38K lifetime
  2. 2Mei-ji26% won of 1,004$428−$7.4K lifetime
  3. 3TweetPulse.Live11% won of 710$420−$4.2K lifetime
  4. 4hulitest202558% won of 1,808$315−$11K lifetime
  5. 5amy88829% won of 539$306−$7.3K lifetime

No$2.6K on it

  1. 1hetacz28% won of 1,850 · noise$743+$19K lifetime
  2. 2bipbipbop51% won of 1,875 · whale$468+$106K lifetime
  3. 3jfefgsgsw80% won of 135 · balanced$376+$1.9K lifetime
  4. 4CaprioDiLeo45% won of 1,167 · whale$282+$11K lifetime
  5. 5valrewards72% won of 117$272−$121 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?

93 wallets hold a position worth $7.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is Poiuztrewq, with $525 on it, $38K lifetime loss over 553 markets (8% won). The largest No holder is hetacz, with $743 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 1,850 markets (28% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

15% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 67 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.