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Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?”?

Politics$16K traded90 holdersEnds November 3, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
15%Yes
85%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 69 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$16K
traded all time
Held now
$5.9K
by 90 wallets
Smart share · Yes
25%
71 scored holders
Smart share · No
94%
18 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

The smart money

25% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 69 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 71 points.

Who holds it

90 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is ColinHuang, with $392 on it, $11K lifetime loss over 67 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is hetacz, with $850 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 1,850 markets (28% won).

Yes15%
Smart money share25% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
a day ago 23%now 25%
Holders
72
Money on it
$4.0K
Holders' win rate
40%
No85%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share94%
a day ago 93%now 94%
Holders
18
Money on it
$1.8K
Holders' win rate
45%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$4.0K on it

  1. 1ColinHuang42% won of 67$392−$11K lifetime
  2. 2felipe6958% won of 19$375+$1.5K lifetime
  3. 3Mei-ji26% won of 1,004$367−$7.4K lifetime
  4. 4TweetPulse.Live11% won of 710$360−$4.2K lifetime
  5. 5hulitest202558% won of 1,808$302−$11K lifetime

No$1.8K on it

  1. 1hetacz28% won of 1,850 · noise$850+$19K lifetime
  2. 2CaprioDiLeo45% won of 1,167 · whale$276+$11K lifetime
  3. 3BernandoNaty85% won of 48 · balanced$239+$597 lifetime
  4. 4bipbipbop51% won of 1,875 · whale$222+$106K lifetime
  5. 50x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-177788278671557% won of 416 · whale$79+$6.3K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?

90 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is ColinHuang, with $392 on it, $11K lifetime loss over 67 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is hetacz, with $850 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 1,850 markets (28% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

25% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 69 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 71 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.