Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 40% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $520 by 53 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 40% 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 24% 5 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
40% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points.
Who holds it
53 wallets hold a position worth $520 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is felipe69, with $77 on it, $1.5K lifetime profit over 19 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $20 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,227 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $495
- Holders' win rate
- 37%
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $26
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$495 on it
- 1felipe6958% won of 19$77+$1.5K lifetime
- 2Mei-ji26% won of 1,004$49−$7.4K lifetime
- 3TweetPulse.Live11% won of 710$48−$4.2K lifetime
- 4hulitest202558% won of 1,808$40−$11K lifetime
- 5Bitgod41% won of 1,258 · noise$36+$60K lifetime
No$26 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,227$20−$49K lifetime
- 2Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$5+$570 lifetime
- 3SerjSerjSerjSerj75% won of 242$1+$5 lifetime
- 4balthazar53% won of 52,451 · whale$0+$1.2M lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 87,012 · noise$0+$829K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
22 more- 80-99$41K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 280-299$24K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- 160-179$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 180-199$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 500-519$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 200-219$21K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 320-339$21K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- 220-239$20K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 140-159$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 120-139$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 100-119$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 260-279$17K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- 240-259$16K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- 340-359$16K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money: No
- 380-399$15K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- 560-579$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 300-319$14K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- 580+$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 420-439$13K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- 360-379$12K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- 440-459$11K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 480-499$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?
53 wallets hold a position worth $520 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is felipe69, with $77 on it, $1.5K lifetime profit over 19 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $20 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,227 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
40% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.