Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $30K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 256 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 39% 156 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 72% 98 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
39% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points.
Who holds it
256 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 254 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $1.4K on it, $17K lifetime loss over 1,128 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is 0xf14e…6173, with $3.5K on it, $19K lifetime profit over 155 markets (85% won).
- Holders
- 158
- Money on it
- $6.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 31%
- Holders
- 98
- Money on it
- $8.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.8K on it
- 1Mei-ji25% won of 1,128$1.4K−$17K lifetime
- 2AndreaPirlo34% won of 505$975−$2.6K lifetime
- 3RickRockRick26% won of 374 · noise$630+$12K lifetime
- 4Kaiji12316% won of 795$610−$10K lifetime
- 5Sugarina7% won of 734 · noise$525+$10.0K lifetime
No$8.0K on it
- 10xf14e…617385% won of 155 · balanced$3.5K+$19K lifetime
- 2pykue58% won of 1,036$604−$16K lifetime
- 3touxie54% won of 206 · balanced$548+$3.1K lifetime
- 40xPoni-Elon47% won of 372 · balanced$458+$3.7K lifetime
- 5fishpapav63% won of 338 · balanced$371+$3.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?
9 more- 40-64$72K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 190-214$61K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 165-189$51K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- 215-239$43K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 240+$33K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 140-164$18K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- 90-114$17K vol.Yes 51%No 50%Too little scored money to compare
- 115-139$14K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Too little scored money to compare
- <40$52K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$77M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$46M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?"?
256 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 254 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $1.4K on it, $17K lifetime loss over 1,128 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is 0xf14e…6173, with $3.5K on it, $19K lifetime profit over 155 markets (85% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
39% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.