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Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?”?

Politics$72K traded205 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated November 3, 2026
0%Yes
100%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$72K
traded all time
Held now
$30K
by 205 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
112 scored holders
Smart share · No
73%
92 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

205 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 204 of them. The largest Yes holder is hetacz, with $14 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 2,100 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is carboyant, with $8.8K on it, $2.1K lifetime profit over 749 markets (91% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share-
Holders
113
Money on it
$88
Holders' win rate
38%
No100%
Smart money share73%
Holders
92
Money on it
$30K
Holders' win rate
68%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$88 on it

  1. 1hetacz28% won of 2,100 · noise$14+$17K lifetime
  2. 2Brotherinchrist37% won of 285 · noise$9+$1.9K lifetime
  3. 3InsideR535% won of 489 · noise$9+$7.9K lifetime
  4. 4ElonJail64% won of 432 · whale$8+$18K lifetime
  5. 50x06F3d8982CE6c8Bda4cF31089467fD4D50083eE7-1768965414011no record yet$7−$447 lifetime

No$30K on it

  1. 1carboyant91% won of 749 · whale$8.8K+$2.1K lifetime
  2. 20xf14e…617385% won of 155 · balanced$6.7K+$19K lifetime
  3. 3AndreaPirlo34% won of 505$5.7K−$2.6K lifetime
  4. 4Houdray23% won of 1,116 · noise$2.4K+$22K lifetime
  5. 5bipbipbop51% won of 2,290 · whale$1.1K+$106K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?"?

205 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 204 of them. The largest Yes holder is hetacz, with $14 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 2,100 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is carboyant, with $8.8K on it, $2.1K lifetime profit over 749 markets (91% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.