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Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?”?

Politics$51K traded79 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated November 3, 2026
1%Yes
99%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$51K
traded all time
Held now
$18K
by 79 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
50 scored holders
Smart share · No
14%
28 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

79 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is GoldenSpin, with $80 on it, $4.2K lifetime loss over 241 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is upont, with $9.8K on it, $48K lifetime loss over 467 markets (89% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share-
Holders
51
Money on it
$464
Holders' win rate
33%
No99%
Smart money share14%
Holders
28
Money on it
$17K
Holders' win rate
86%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$464 on it

  1. 1GoldenSpin43% won of 241$80−$4.2K lifetime
  2. 2oiisparahaa19% won of 216 · noise$51+$7.0K lifetime
  3. 3dddtrips64% won of 279$50−$57K lifetime
  4. 4RickRockRick26% won of 374 · noise$36+$12K lifetime
  5. 5Sugarina7% won of 734 · noise$30+$10.0K lifetime

No$17K on it

  1. 1upont89% won of 467$9.8K−$48K lifetime
  2. 2beatyesterday81% won of 1,205$3.6K−$87K lifetime
  3. 3Araminta-Sallow98% won of 138 · grinder$746+$422 lifetime
  4. 4caishenyebaoyou100% won of 205 · grinder$590+$199 lifetime
  5. 5Elowen-Gotobed88% won of 130$573−$1.8K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?"?

79 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is GoldenSpin, with $80 on it, $4.2K lifetime loss over 241 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is upont, with $9.8K on it, $48K lifetime loss over 467 markets (89% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.