Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $61K traded all time
- Held now
- $23K by 75 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 55 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 3% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $61K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
75 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is GoldenSpin, with $32 on it, $4.2K lifetime loss over 241 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is upont, with $21K on it, $48K lifetime loss over 467 markets (89% won).
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $207
- Holders' win rate
- 31%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $23K
- Holders' win rate
- 86%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$207 on it
- 1GoldenSpin43% won of 241$32−$4.2K lifetime
- 2ZYbRUIpL12% won of 918$31−$6.3K lifetime
- 3Sam-AI28% won of 453$20−$441 lifetime
- 4dddtrips64% won of 279$20−$57K lifetime
- 5ihrekunst4% won of 471 · noise$20+$8.7K lifetime
No$23K on it
- 1upont89% won of 467$21K−$48K lifetime
- 2Mei-ji25% won of 1,128$642−$17K lifetime
- 30x054b45fa379910d97abb4b3939b438d47f7b4616-179334146111669% won of 49 · balanced$249+$101 lifetime
- 4bipbipbop51% won of 2,290 · whale$169+$106K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 56,096$139−$104K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?
9 more- 40-64$72K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 165-189$51K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- 215-239$43K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 240+$33K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 65-89$30K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- 140-164$18K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- 90-114$17K vol.Yes 51%No 50%Too little scored money to compare
- 115-139$14K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Too little scored money to compare
- <40$52K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$77M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$46M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?"?
75 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is GoldenSpin, with $32 on it, $4.2K lifetime loss over 241 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is upont, with $21K on it, $48K lifetime loss over 467 markets (89% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $61K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.