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Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?”?

Politics$18K traded96 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated November 3, 2026
5%Yes
95%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$18K
traded all time
Held now
$4.9K
by 96 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
64 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
31 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

96 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $391 on it, $17K lifetime loss over 1,128 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is upont, with $594 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 467 markets (89% won).

Yes5%
Smart money share-
Holders
65
Money on it
$1.7K
Holders' win rate
31%
No95%
Smart money share-
Holders
31
Money on it
$3.3K
Holders' win rate
79%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.7K on it

  1. 1Mei-ji25% won of 1,128$391−$17K lifetime
  2. 2AndreaPirlo34% won of 505$205−$2.6K lifetime
  3. 3RickRockRick26% won of 374 · noise$184+$12K lifetime
  4. 4Sugarina7% won of 734 · noise$153+$10.0K lifetime
  5. 5Kaiji12316% won of 795$145−$10K lifetime

No$3.3K on it

  1. 1upont89% won of 467$594−$48K lifetime
  2. 2saskoly100% won of 204$466−$721 lifetime
  3. 3fishpapav63% won of 338 · balanced$317+$3.8K lifetime
  4. 4beatyesterday81% won of 1,205$226−$87K lifetime
  5. 5cigarettes46% won of 56,096$218−$104K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?"?

96 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $391 on it, $17K lifetime loss over 1,128 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is upont, with $594 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 467 markets (89% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.