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Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?”?

Politics$14K traded140 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated November 3, 2026
24%Yes
77%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$14K
traded all time
Held now
$9.3K
by 140 wallets
Smart share · Yes
28%
81 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
58 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

140 wallets hold a position worth $9.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 139 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $1.8K on it, $17K lifetime loss over 1,128 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is icariam06, with $229 on it, $6.5K lifetime loss over 473 markets (42% won).

Yes24%
Smart money share28%
Holders
82
Money on it
$7.4K
Holders' win rate
29%
No77%
Smart money share-
Holders
58
Money on it
$1.9K
Holders' win rate
62%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$7.4K on it

  1. 1Mei-ji25% won of 1,128$1.8K−$17K lifetime
  2. 2AndreaPirlo34% won of 505$1.1K−$2.6K lifetime
  3. 3RickRockRick26% won of 374 · noise$846+$12K lifetime
  4. 4Kaiji12316% won of 795$725−$10K lifetime
  5. 5Sugarina7% won of 734 · noise$705+$10.0K lifetime

No$1.9K on it

  1. 1icariam0642% won of 473$229−$6.5K lifetime
  2. 2dscascsac93% won of 760$195−$4.0K lifetime
  3. 3cigarettes46% won of 56,096$180−$104K lifetime
  4. 4newniuniuno record yet$153+$0 lifetime
  5. 5CaprioDiLeo45% won of 1,406 · whale$114+$10K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?"?

140 wallets hold a position worth $9.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 139 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $1.8K on it, $17K lifetime loss over 1,128 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is icariam06, with $229 on it, $6.5K lifetime loss over 473 markets (42% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.