Who's betting on “Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.0K by 58 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 34 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 31, 2027.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
Who holds it
58 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is maritime6307, with $605 on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 377 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is Olcan, with $1.9K on it, $45K lifetime profit over 645 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.5K on it
- 1maritime630740% won of 377 · noise$605+$2.6K lifetime
- 2crop?72% won of 218$303−$294 lifetime
- 3Gaby9976% won of 17$155+$1.4K lifetime
- 40x4F71f873348B7acd0A883f717270F4AC4dC91721-177871517556682% won of 56$104−$1.6K lifetime
- 50xc8C97fFDB0f3a1620E67e2C48A6239c97666a94a-178337325505957% won of 167 · balanced$100+$263 lifetime
No$2.5K on it
- 1Olcan70% won of 645 · whale$1.9K+$45K lifetime
- 2Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,088 · whale$315+$104K lifetime
- 3burge14646% won of 770$52−$1.7K lifetime
- 4PPMT70% won of 57,115 · whale$38+$16K lifetime
- 5parameter165% won of 400 · balanced$37+$1.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Claude 6 released by...?
2 more- June 30, 2027$13K vol.Yes 73%No 28%Smart money: Yes
- December 31, 2027$11K vol.Yes 89%No 12%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$889K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$460K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is maritime6307, with $605 on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 377 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is Olcan, with $1.9K on it, $45K lifetime profit over 645 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 31, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 31, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.