Who's betting on “Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.7K by 36 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 73¢ and No at 28¢, a 73% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 30, 2027.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
Who holds it
36 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is proK2026, with $508 on it, $2 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is Olcan, with $293 on it, $45K lifetime profit over 645 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $471
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 1proK2026100% won of 1$508+$2 lifetime
- 2doitwise76% won of 203 · balanced$420+$123 lifetime
- 30x4255aF68067EA2D1e984aB21966fA337407d2577-176787472623967% won of 78$73−$87 lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 16,132 · noise$70+$28K lifetime
- 5S88872% won of 375 · whale$69+$14K lifetime
No$471 on it
- 1Olcan70% won of 645 · whale$293+$45K lifetime
- 2Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,088 · whale$45+$104K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 124,069 · noise$37+$257K lifetime
- 4pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,725$24−$320K lifetime
- 5Fluo64% won of 513$22−$5.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Claude 6 released by...?
2 more- March 31, 2027$21K vol.Yes 37%No 63%Smart money: No
- December 31, 2027$11K vol.Yes 89%No 12%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$889K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$499K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$462K vol.Yes 52%No 49%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?"?
36 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is proK2026, with $508 on it, $2 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is Olcan, with $293 on it, $45K lifetime profit over 645 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 73¢ and No at 28¢, a 73% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 30, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on June 30, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.