Who's betting on “Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 57% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $64K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 124 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 57% 63 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 36% 61 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 77¢ and No at 23¢, a 77% implied chance of Yes. $64K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
57% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.
Who holds it
124 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 124 of them. The largest Yes holder is dedidanc, with $2.2K on it, $5.3K lifetime loss over 267 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $103 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 53,968 markets (50% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.6K on Yes.
- Holders
- 63
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1.6K
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $308
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$11K on it
- 1dedidanc67% won of 267$2.2K−$5.3K lifetime
- 20x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-175947098161649% won of 713 · whale$2.2K+$119K lifetime
- 3FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$1.6K+$244K lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 86,863 · noise$745+$828K lifetime
- 50x29ef…ddda31% won of 10,797$537−$12K lifetime
No$308 on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$103−$377K lifetime
- 2Tallguy252747% won of 24,235$30−$23K lifetime
- 3Hourglass40% won of 2,902 · noise$29+$137K lifetime
- 40x14a1…99122% won of 2,906$25−$15K lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,230$19−$217K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
4 more- 16-19$49K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: No
- <12$42K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- 20-23$24K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- 24-27$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?"?
124 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 124 of them. The largest Yes holder is dedidanc, with $2.2K on it, $5.3K lifetime loss over 267 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $103 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 53,968 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 77¢ and No at 23¢, a 77% implied chance of Yes. $64K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.