Who's betting on “Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 63% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 48 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $42K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.0K by 93 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 15% 53 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 63% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
15% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 78 points.
Who holds it
93 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is arbandy, with $453 on it, $166K lifetime loss over 217 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is dedidanc, with $1.3K on it, $5.3K lifetime loss over 267 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $628
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $4.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$628 on it
- 1arbandy73% won of 217$453−$166K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$26+$203K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,827 · noise$21+$27K lifetime
- 4haouibao98% won of 90$16−$196 lifetime
- 50xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-177881046449310% won of 33,616 · noise$13+$21K lifetime
No$4.3K on it
- 1dedidanc67% won of 267$1.3K−$5.3K lifetime
- 20x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-175947098161649% won of 713 · whale$862+$119K lifetime
- 3lottonakamoto67% won of 318 · balanced$583+$1.2K lifetime
- 4Leclerc0451% won of 1,214 · balanced$496+$3.8K lifetime
- 5WageringGrandma46% won of 112 · noise$402+$199 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
4 more- 12-15$64K vol.Yes 77%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- 16-19$49K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: No
- 20-23$24K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- 24-27$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?"?
93 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is arbandy, with $453 on it, $166K lifetime loss over 217 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is dedidanc, with $1.3K on it, $5.3K lifetime loss over 267 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
15% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 78 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.