Who's betting on “Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 50 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 97% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
97% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
50 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hossein-m, with $899 on it, $23K lifetime profit over 69 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is Hakei., with $1.1K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,028 markets (71% won).
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.3K on it
- 1Hossein-m68% won of 69 · balanced$899+$23K lifetime
- 2ToTheWindow55% won of 441 · whale$215+$36K lifetime
- 32B9S27% won of 14,480 · noise$37+$97K lifetime
- 40x3c34…3d3e59% won of 27$35+$439 lifetime
- 5Hellboy-winner79% won of 226 · balanced$33+$828 lifetime
No$1.2K on it
- 1Hakei.71% won of 1,028 · whale$1.1K+$91K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$129−$378K lifetime
- 30xF08c5A06964aAeC6E15EeB07e12E3A4B863f3295-177671303046119% won of 1,955$17−$2.2K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$14+$335K lifetime
- 5pppnn34% won of 8,140$3−$79K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in USD x Iranian rials End of December?
4 more- <2.0M$31K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- 2.0 - 2.5M$28K vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: No
- 3.0 - 3.5M$28K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money split
- 2.5 - 3.0M$25K vol.Yes 34%No 66%Smart money: Yes
Other big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?"?
50 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hossein-m, with $899 on it, $23K lifetime profit over 69 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is Hakei., with $1.1K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,028 markets (71% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.