Who's betting on “Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 55% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 47 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.9K by 66 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 8% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 55% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
8% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 47 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
Who holds it
66 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is N.sam, with $932 on it, $369 lifetime loss over 244 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is Hmdj, with $200 on it, $879 lifetime loss over 1 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $813
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 1N.sam39% won of 244$932−$369 lifetime
- 2Romiche2260% won of 581 · balanced$32+$17K lifetime
- 30xe0142C11F85446df176FA52ccC9beA019d3D65bB-1787247896187100% won of 24$30−$37 lifetime
- 42B9S27% won of 14,480 · noise$20+$97K lifetime
- 5ghorrock64% won of 33,505 · whale$13+$7.3K lifetime
No$813 on it
- 1Hmdj100% won of 1$200−$879 lifetime
- 2Temixoch53% won of 80$155+$162 lifetime
- 3Dima7950% won of 265 · balanced$120+$683 lifetime
- 4Rezaahmadiiino record yet$86−$330 lifetime
- 5Relaccsed56% won of 459 · whale$68+$10K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in USD x Iranian rials End of December?
4 more- <2.0M$31K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- 3.0 - 3.5M$28K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money split
- 2.5 - 3.0M$25K vol.Yes 34%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- 3.5 - 4.0M$16K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: Yes
Other big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?"?
66 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is N.sam, with $932 on it, $369 lifetime loss over 244 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is Hmdj, with $200 on it, $879 lifetime loss over 1 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
8% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 47 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.