Who's betting on “Will Trump deport 800-900k people?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 53 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $102 by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 23% 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 23% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 58 points.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $102 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is xlefgerx, with $15 on it, $4.8K lifetime profit over 132 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $20 on it, $51K lifetime loss over 49,306 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $70
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $32
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$70 on it
- 1xlefgerx84% won of 132 · whale$15+$4.8K lifetime
- 2cmanwahoo70% won of 89 · balanced$13+$1.6K lifetime
- 3Siziriv63% won of 222 · whale$13+$506K lifetime
- 4TestRider23% won of 64$4−$232 lifetime
- 5awgraewrfa100% won of 5$4−$189 lifetime
No$32 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,306$20−$51K lifetime
- 2FlashTradeOracleTester88% won of 251$5−$3.0K lifetime
- 3PPMT70% won of 56,842 · whale$5+$16K lifetime
- 4products49% won of 1,236 · whale$2+$27K lifetime
- 5paspor61% won of 367 · whale$1+$41K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
4 more- 700-800k$42K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 300-400k$15K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money split
- <200k$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- 200-300k$10K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump deport 800-900k people?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $102 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is xlefgerx, with $15 on it, $4.8K lifetime profit over 132 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $20 on it, $51K lifetime loss over 49,306 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump deport 800-900k people?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 23% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.