Who's betting on “Will Trump deport 700-800k people?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $42K traded all time
- Held now
- $338 by 64 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
Who holds it
64 wallets hold a position worth $338 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is cmanwahoo, with $21 on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 89 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is e56lavan3578, with $50 on it, $7 lifetime profit over 17 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $76
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $263
- Holders' win rate
- 88%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$76 on it
- 1cmanwahoo70% won of 89 · balanced$21+$1.6K lifetime
- 2Siziriv63% won of 222 · whale$14+$506K lifetime
- 3Gorlami248% won of 203$8−$7.3K lifetime
- 4xlefgerx84% won of 132 · whale$8+$4.8K lifetime
- 5FairlyFlexibleFeline27% won of 66 · noise$7+$855 lifetime
No$263 on it
- 1e56lavan3578100% won of 17$50+$7 lifetime
- 2ahmedhulinadov100% won of 15$49+$3 lifetime
- 3abogomolova78% won of 37$49−$172 lifetime
- 4nombertwo100% won of 20$46+$9 lifetime
- 5ric534msey80% won of 20 · outlier$20+$4.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
4 more- 300-400k$15K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money split
- 800-900k$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- <200k$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- 200-300k$10K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump deport 700-800k people?"?
64 wallets hold a position worth $338 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is cmanwahoo, with $21 on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 89 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is e56lavan3578, with $50 on it, $7 lifetime profit over 17 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump deport 700-800k people?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.