Who's betting on “Will Trump deport 300-400k people?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.9K by 66 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
66 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is siick, with $239 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 1,040 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is gummy-usb, with $997 on it, $3.6K lifetime profit over 86 markets (43% won).
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $697
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$697 on it
- 1siick69% won of 1,040 · whale$239+$97K lifetime
- 2Siziriv63% won of 222 · whale$103+$506K lifetime
- 3iutwpfal53% won of 362 · whale$71+$97K lifetime
- 4pingentfan155% won of 441 · whale$44+$43K lifetime
- 5awgraewrfa100% won of 5$29−$189 lifetime
No$1.2K on it
- 1gummy-usb43% won of 86 · noise$997+$3.6K lifetime
- 2noise126trader63% won of 208$41−$551 lifetime
- 3roman-1643% won of 14$32−$153 lifetime
- 4Raketa0977% won of 223$27−$671 lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,298$18−$52K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
4 more- 700-800k$42K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 800-900k$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- <200k$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- 200-300k$10K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump deport 300-400k people?"?
66 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is siick, with $239 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 1,040 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is gummy-usb, with $997 on it, $3.6K lifetime profit over 86 markets (43% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump deport 300-400k people?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.