Who's betting on “Will Trump deport 200-300k people?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 87 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $614 by 58 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 2% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 2% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 87 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 87 points. A week ago, Yes by 92 points.
Who holds it
58 wallets hold a position worth $614 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is siick, with $66 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 1,040 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is Gorlami2, with $335 on it, $7.3K lifetime loss over 203 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $240
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $374
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$240 on it
- 1siick69% won of 1,040 · whale$66+$97K lifetime
- 2cakedefender54% won of 28 · noise$42+$3.5K lifetime
- 3Siziriv63% won of 222 · whale$41+$506K lifetime
- 4xlefgerx84% won of 132 · whale$14+$4.8K lifetime
- 5awgraewrfa100% won of 5$12−$189 lifetime
No$374 on it
- 1Gorlami248% won of 203$335−$7.3K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,306$19−$51K lifetime
- 30xc48c…1fc9100% won of 1$5−$2 lifetime
- 4nicetomeetyouto89% won of 201$5+$46 lifetime
- 5FlashTradeOracleTester88% won of 251$5−$3.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
4 more- 700-800k$42K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 300-400k$15K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money split
- 800-900k$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- <200k$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump deport 200-300k people?"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $614 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is siick, with $66 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 1,040 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is Gorlami2, with $335 on it, $7.3K lifetime loss over 203 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump deport 200-300k people?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 2% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 87 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 87 points. A week ago, Yes by 92 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.