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Who's betting on “Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?”?

Sports · $109K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $109K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

95% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.

60 wallets hold a position worth $827 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is rainbowlilies, with $73 on it, $225K lifetime profit over 2,372 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is gewrs, with $97 on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 36 markets (67% won).

Yes1%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
95%
Holders
44
Money on it
$181
Holders' winrate
48%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money share
65%
Holders
16
Money on it
$646
Holders' winrate
66%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
rainbowlilieswhale$73+$225K43% of 2,372
ndwoidnwqiosadmo0213balanced$71+$1.7K48% of 332
Hjklmwhale$9+$26K57% of 1,058
tw0hnepixeL$6-$2096% of 200
peepeepooppoopwhale$6+$8.5K65% of 1,377
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
gewrsbalanced$97+$1.0K67% of 36
rqqdqqs$96-$71958% of 36
fsadcasbalanced$92+$2.6K77% of 44
qxqxqabalanced$92+$99063% of 41
asdfsaaf$90-$61154% of 37
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?"?

60 wallets hold a position worth $827 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is rainbowlilies, with $73 on it, $225K lifetime profit over 2,372 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is gewrs, with $97 on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 36 markets (67% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $109K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

95% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo