Who's betting on “Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?”?
Sports · $872K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $872K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
36% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
176 wallets hold a position worth $839 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is 3d0, with $171 on it, $19K lifetime loss over 241 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $64 on it, $105K lifetime profit over 6,018 markets (38% won).
- Smart money share
- 36%
- Holders
- 95
- Money on it
- $508
- Holders' winrate
- 49%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 43% ▼ 9 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 81
- Money on it
- $331
- Holders' winrate
- 44%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d0 | $171 | -$19K | 53% of 241 |
| Gucky-45noise | $50 | +$215K | 32% of 1,146 |
| 0xa82c6D29Bc9AF5c8E9932A07240013F38cB8Dd71-1756138241043 | $34 | -$3.4K | 40% of 110 |
| TradingWave | $33 | -$190K | 15% of 276 |
| rainbowlilieswhale | $32 | +$225K | 43% of 2,372 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938noise | $64 | +$105K | 38% of 6,018 |
| affleck37080balanced | $49 | +$1.1K | 78% of 23 |
| BraveSeeker992 | $46 | -$103 | 4% of 232 |
| EliteProphet2104 | $30 | -$105 | 4% of 235 |
| cigarettes | $28 | -$4.2K | 46% of 42,466 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in MLS Cup Winner 2026
- Columbus Crew$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Real Salt Lake$3.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Orlando City SC$2.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Charlotte FC$2.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- FC Cincinnati$1.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Portland Timbers$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- San Diego FC$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- New York Red Bulls$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- San Jose Earthquakes$1.2M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- New York City FC$713K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- D.C. United$543K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Minnesota United FC$497K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Houston Dynamo FC$490K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC$407K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Nashville SC$346K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- LA Galaxy$333K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Chicago Fire FC$256K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Philadelphia Union$251K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Colorado Rapids$143K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Austin FC$137K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Inter Miami CF$133K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Toronto FC$109K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- St. Louis City SC$107K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Atlanta United FC$104K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$35M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.3M vol.Yes 71%No 29%Smart money: No
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.6M vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.3M vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.8M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.7M vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?"?
176 wallets hold a position worth $839 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is 3d0, with $171 on it, $19K lifetime loss over 241 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $64 on it, $105K lifetime profit over 6,018 markets (38% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $872K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
36% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.