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Who's betting on “Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?”?

Sports · $713K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $713K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

84% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 42 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.

111 wallets hold a position worth $403 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is rainbowlilies, with $26 on it, $225K lifetime profit over 2,372 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is acadc, with $93 on it, $1.1K lifetime loss over 40 markets (63% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
84%
Holders
62
Money on it
$75
Holders' winrate
47%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
41%
Holders
49
Money on it
$328
Holders' winrate
54%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
rainbowlilieswhale$26+$225K43% of 2,372
garbagecollect2whale$14+$29K64% of 1,583
Gucky-45noise$9+$215K32% of 1,146
0xa82c6D29Bc9AF5c8E9932A07240013F38cB8Dd71-1756138241043$5-$3.4K40% of 110
Hjklmwhale$4+$26K57% of 1,058
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
acadc$93-$1.1K63% of 40
vfasfdsabalanced$91+$86767% of 46
CosmicTiger4935$48-$815% of 230
ghorrockwhale$34+$7.8K64% of 30,141
cigarettes$28-$10K46% of 42,289
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?"?

111 wallets hold a position worth $403 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is rainbowlilies, with $26 on it, $225K lifetime profit over 2,372 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is acadc, with $93 on it, $1.1K lifetime loss over 40 markets (63% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $713K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

84% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 42 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo