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Who's betting on “Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?”?

Sports · $256K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $256K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

7% of the money on Yes and 1% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.

91 wallets hold a position worth $102K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is saintaphextwin, with $5.2K on it, $56K lifetime loss over 592 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is mooseborzoi, with $95K on it, $11M lifetime loss over 8,542 markets (41% won).

Yes5%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
7%
Holders
47
Money on it
$6.3K
Holders' winrate
82%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No95%
Smart money share
1%
Holders
44
Money on it
$96K
Holders' winrate
42%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
saintaphextwin$5.2K-$56K87% of 592
0x53eCc53E7$407-$8.5K49% of 1,066
TimeTravelerwhale$223+$151K88% of 1,286
0xa82c6D29Bc9AF5c8E9932A07240013F38cB8Dd71-1756138241043$97-$3.4K40% of 110
Hjklmwhale$77+$26K57% of 1,058
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
mooseborzoi$95K-$11M41% of 8,542
wejor$97+$591% of 22
MonkoX$57+$21100% of 35
teto.ascii.art$51-$3596% of 28
gariktheguard$49+$2694% of 35
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?"?

91 wallets hold a position worth $102K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is saintaphextwin, with $5.2K on it, $56K lifetime loss over 592 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is mooseborzoi, with $95K on it, $11M lifetime loss over 8,542 markets (41% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $256K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

7% of the money on Yes and 1% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo