Who's betting on “Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?”?
Sports · $1.2M volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $1.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
18% of the money on Yes and 1% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
176 wallets hold a position worth $79K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is saintaphextwin, with $2.1K on it, $50K lifetime loss over 592 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is mooseborzoi, with $75K on it, $11M lifetime loss over 8,542 markets (41% won).
- Smart money share
- 18%
- Holders
- 104
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' winrate
- 80%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 1%
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $76K
- Holders' winrate
- 42%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| saintaphextwin | $2.1K | -$50K | 87% of 592 |
| TimeTravelerwhale | $242 | +$149K | 88% of 1,276 |
| gugul | $72 | -$5.7K | 64% of 100 |
| 0xa82c6D29Bc9AF5c8E9932A07240013F38cB8Dd71-1756138241043 | $54 | -$3.4K | 40% of 110 |
| AMAM13 | $48 | -$116K | 57% of 5,490 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| mooseborzoi | $75K | -$11M | 41% of 8,542 |
| Nooseracwhale | $303 | +$1.3M | 57% of 2,835 |
| Haradwaith | $108 | -$334K | 50% of 45,650 |
| Ioanyt | $100 | +$14 | 100% of 27 |
| bxzcvbalanced | $93 | +$623 | 71% of 45 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in MLS Cup Winner 2026
- Columbus Crew$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Real Salt Lake$3.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Orlando City SC$2.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Charlotte FC$2.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- FC Cincinnati$1.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Portland Timbers$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- San Diego FC$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- New York Red Bulls$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Seattle Sounders FC$872K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- New York City FC$713K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- D.C. United$543K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Minnesota United FC$497K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Houston Dynamo FC$490K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC$407K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Nashville SC$346K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- LA Galaxy$333K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Chicago Fire FC$256K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Philadelphia Union$251K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Colorado Rapids$143K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Austin FC$137K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Inter Miami CF$133K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Toronto FC$109K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- St. Louis City SC$107K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Atlanta United FC$104K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$35M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.2M vol.Yes 71%No 29%Smart money: No
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.3M vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.8M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.7M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?"?
176 wallets hold a position worth $79K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is saintaphextwin, with $2.1K on it, $50K lifetime loss over 592 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is mooseborzoi, with $75K on it, $11M lifetime loss over 8,542 markets (41% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $1.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
18% of the money on Yes and 1% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.