Who's betting on “Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $178K traded all time
- Held now
- $32K by 183 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 89 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 94 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $178K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
Who holds it
183 wallets hold a position worth $32K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 183 of them. The largest Yes holder is George.Smiley, with $17K on it, $57K lifetime profit over 248 markets (89% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $151 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,414 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 89
- Money on it
- $31K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
- Holders
- 94
- Money on it
- $332
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$31K on it
- 1George.Smiley89% won of 248 · whale$17K+$57K lifetime
- 2Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$2.7K+$104K lifetime
- 3smoke-freeno record yet$2.6K+$0 lifetime
- 4gambler92551% won of 535 · whale$2.5K+$6.7K lifetime
- 5molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$728+$46K lifetime
No$332 on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 52,414 · whale$151+$1.2M lifetime
- 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$42+$334K lifetime
- 3rewardbots58% won of 354 · whale$24+$76K lifetime
- 4hadarhaddad49% won of 930 · balanced$19+$2.5K lifetime
- 5The-Joker64% won of 1,333 · whale$11+$145K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
5 more- October 26–November 1$17K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money split
- October 12–October 18$50K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- September 28–October 4$30K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 5–October 11$29K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 19–October 25$21K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?"?
183 wallets hold a position worth $32K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 183 of them. The largest Yes holder is George.Smiley, with $17K on it, $57K lifetime profit over 248 markets (89% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $151 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,414 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $178K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.