Who's betting on “Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $540 by 73 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 12 points.
Who holds it
73 wallets hold a position worth $540 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $63 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,570 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $129 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,956 markets (56% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $41 on Yes.
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $170
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 1 · $41
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $370
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$170 on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$63+$1.2M lifetime
- 2kyIiandictador93% won of 283 · sniper$41+$43K lifetime
- 32B9S27% won of 14,477 · noise$8+$97K lifetime
- 4molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$8+$46K lifetime
- 5haouibao98% won of 90$8−$196 lifetime
No$370 on it
- 1Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,956 · whale$129+$163K lifetime
- 2neverhackme31% won of 14,845 · noise$79+$7.7K lifetime
- 30x29da…2a1975% won of 381$35−$4.7K lifetime
- 4ff1182% won of 28$33+$3 lifetime
- 5GingerMcKenna36% won of 5,022 · noise$31+$39K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
5 more- No release by November 1$178K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: No
- October 12–October 18$50K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- September 28–October 4$30K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 5–October 11$29K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 19–October 25$21K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?"?
73 wallets hold a position worth $540 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $63 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,570 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $129 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,956 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.