Who's betting on “Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 62% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.3K by 453 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 62% 215 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 46% 237 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
62% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
Who holds it
453 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 452 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $53 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is Olcan, with $1.1K on it, $45K lifetime profit over 645 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 215
- Money on it
- $389
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 238
- Money on it
- $6.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$389 on it
- 1RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$53+$819K lifetime
- 2LR171% won of 216 · whale$52+$13K lifetime
- 3rocky4200952% won of 1,050$16−$6.9K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$14+$335K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$8+$254K lifetime
No$6.9K on it
- 1Olcan70% won of 645 · whale$1.1K+$45K lifetime
- 2Krass86% won of 201 · balanced$945+$14K lifetime
- 3Mantzuraj56% won of 743$199−$3.6K lifetime
- 4kittycat6771% won of 303 · balanced$182+$1.5K lifetime
- 5leectram282% won of 776$161−$644 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
9 more- Austria$173K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Germany$130K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- New Zealand$125K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Belgium$80K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
- The Netherlands$63K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Japan$49K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money split
- Greece$47K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Finland$39K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Italy$28K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?"?
453 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 452 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $53 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is Olcan, with $1.1K on it, $45K lifetime profit over 645 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
62% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.