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Who's betting on “Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?”?

Politics$125K traded352 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 27, 2026
10%Yes
91%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 60% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$125K
traded all time
Held now
$1.8K
by 352 wallets
Smart share · Yes
54%
162 scored holders
Smart share · No
60%
190 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $125K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

54% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago it was split.

Who holds it

352 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 352 of them.

Yes10%
Smart money share54%
7 days ago 55%a day ago 54%now 54%
Holders
162
Money on it
$170
Holders' win rate
48%
No91%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share60%
7 days ago 58%a day ago 60%now 60%
Holders
190
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' win rate
56%
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?"?

352 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 352 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $125K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

54% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.