Who's betting on “Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 46 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $130K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.6K by 87 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 39% 60 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $130K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
39% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 46 points.
Who holds it
87 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is spartatrading, with $7 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 1,291 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is 0x856bDfF53c1D2B21250E441658237494d37DFd64-1764658517208, with $497 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 11 markets (82% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $102 on No.
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $74
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 83%
- Snipers
- 1 · $102
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$74 on it
- 1spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$7+$27K lifetime
- 2rocky4200952% won of 1,050$7−$6.9K lifetime
- 3RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$6+$819K lifetime
- 4Matousek00775% won of 52$5−$37 lifetime
- 5BSS3728% won of 337 · noise$5+$7.9K lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 10x856bDfF53c1D2B21250E441658237494d37DFd64-176465851720882% won of 11$497+$12K lifetime
- 2Krass86% won of 201 · balanced$217+$14K lifetime
- 3TheOne77793% won of 381 · sniper$102+$16K lifetime
- 4McL0v96% won of 50$80+$161 lifetime
- 5madk1488d98% won of 65$66−$17 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
9 more- Austria$173K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- New Zealand$125K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Belgium$80K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
- The Netherlands$63K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Japan$49K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money split
- Greece$47K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Finland$39K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Italy$28K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money split
- United States$28K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is spartatrading, with $7 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 1,291 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is 0x856bDfF53c1D2B21250E441658237494d37DFd64-1764658517208, with $497 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 11 markets (82% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $130K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
39% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 46 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.