Who's betting on “Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 50 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $39K traded all time
- Held now
- $966 by 49 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 37% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 50 points. A week ago, Yes by 63 points.
Who holds it
49 wallets hold a position worth $966 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $27 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is crossx, with $158 on it, $4.7K lifetime loss over 173 markets (76% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on No.
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $68
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $899
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$68 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$27+$255K lifetime
- 20x70889280aB106F3e298cB0F6cff634A95DAD0086-175484192923456% won of 206 · balanced$7+$1.1K lifetime
- 3b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98% won of 3,362 · whale$6+$22K lifetime
- 4PPMT70% won of 56,626 · whale$4+$16K lifetime
- 50x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-178211120799855% won of 2,186 · balanced$4+$2.1K lifetime
No$899 on it
- 1crossx76% won of 173$158−$4.7K lifetime
- 2LarBotPrime56% won of 215$126−$1.4K lifetime
- 3Kusetus70% won of 33$92+$66 lifetime
- 4ok18capital88% won of 41$82−$97 lifetime
- 5GUINESS12370% won of 547$72−$59K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
9 more- Austria$173K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Germany$130K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- New Zealand$125K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Belgium$80K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
- The Netherlands$63K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Japan$49K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money split
- Greece$47K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Italy$28K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money split
- United States$28K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?"?
49 wallets hold a position worth $966 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $27 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is crossx, with $158 on it, $4.7K lifetime loss over 173 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 50 points. A week ago, Yes by 63 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.