Who's betting on “Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 101 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 47 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 54 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 14, 2026 and resolved Yes. $19K has been traded on it.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
101 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them.
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $5
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
3 more- 45%+$52K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- 60%+$46K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- 55%+$36K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?"?
101 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?"?
This market closed on October 14, 2026 and resolved Yes. $19K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 14, 2026 and resolved Yes. $19K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.