Who's betting on “Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $52K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.2K by 33 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 100% 9 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 14, 2026 and resolved Yes. $52K has been traded on it.
The smart money
100% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
33 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them.
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $15
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
3 more- 60%+$46K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- 55%+$36K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- 50%+$19K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?"?
33 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?"?
This market closed on October 14, 2026 and resolved Yes. $52K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
100% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 14, 2026 and resolved Yes. $52K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.