Who's betting on “Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?”?
Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $34K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.0K by 86 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 35 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
Who holds it
86 wallets hold a position worth $8.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876, with $572 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 284 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Djibooty, with $2.8K on it, $1.7K lifetime profit over 236 markets (53% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $154 on Yes.
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $154
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $6.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.4K on it
- 10x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-177846773587665% won of 284 · whale$572+$27K lifetime
- 2whispercatalyst49% won of 2,914$187−$5.8K lifetime
- 3singularityman76% won of 360 · sniper$154+$78K lifetime
- 4Alfabaguera58% won of 2,413 · balanced$81+$2.4K lifetime
- 5myfrenda70% won of 23$79−$55 lifetime
No$6.5K on it
- 1Djibooty53% won of 236 · whale$2.8K+$1.7K lifetime
- 2Olcan70% won of 645 · whale$1.8K+$45K lifetime
- 3peter23978455% won of 377 · whale$485+$8.1K lifetime
- 4Mr.Frog🐸62% won of 302 · whale$365+$4.7K lifetime
- 50x8bb1…b0c556% won of 16$337+$65 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?"?
86 wallets hold a position worth $8.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876, with $572 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 284 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Djibooty, with $2.8K on it, $1.7K lifetime profit over 236 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.