Who's betting on “Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $67K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.5K by 89 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 43% 52 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 37 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 50¢ and No at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of No. $67K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
43% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.
Who holds it
89 wallets hold a position worth $9.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is folioquant, with $816 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 219 markets (89% won). The largest No holder is Olcan, with $2.2K on it, $45K lifetime profit over 645 markets (70% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $28 on No.
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $4.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $28
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.7K on it
- 1folioquant89% won of 219$816−$2.4K lifetime
- 20x8482828377382938% won of 360$782−$26K lifetime
- 3vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$719+$170K lifetime
- 4whispercatalyst49% won of 2,921$351−$6.0K lifetime
- 50x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-177846773587665% won of 284 · whale$312+$27K lifetime
No$4.8K on it
- 1Olcan70% won of 645 · whale$2.2K+$45K lifetime
- 2peter23978455% won of 377 · whale$734+$8.0K lifetime
- 3lamyk59% won of 320 · balanced$568+$20K lifetime
- 4SteviaDaddy66% won of 101 · balanced$268+$3.0K lifetime
- 5NeonVector86% won of 14$235−$2.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
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- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?"?
89 wallets hold a position worth $9.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is folioquant, with $816 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 219 markets (89% won). The largest No holder is Olcan, with $2.2K on it, $45K lifetime profit over 645 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 50¢ and No at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of No. $67K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
43% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.