Who's betting on “Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.0K by 54 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
Who holds it
54 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them.
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $68
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?"?
54 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.