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Who's betting on “Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?”?

Tech$42K traded56 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 23, 2026
78%Yes
22%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 56 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$42K
traded all time
Held now
$2.8K
by 56 wallets
Smart share · Yes
31%
23 scored holders
Smart share · No
86%
33 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 78¢ and No at 22¢, a 78% implied chance of Yes. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

31% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.

Who holds it

56 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them.

Yes78%
Smart money share31%
7 days ago 32%a day ago 32%now 31%
Holders
23
Money on it
$2.1K
Holders' win rate
81%
No22%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share86%
7 days ago 87%a day ago 87%now 86%
Holders
33
Money on it
$635
Holders' win rate
65%
Free on Polkyo

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?"?

56 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 78¢ and No at 22¢, a 78% implied chance of Yes. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

31% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.