Who's betting on “Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $68K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.9K by 62 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 74% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $68K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
74% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
Who holds it
62 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them.
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?"?
62 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $68K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
74% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.