Who's betting on “Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 83 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $37K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.5K by 67 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 7% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 39 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 48¢ and No at 53¢, a 53% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
7% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 83 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 84 points. A week ago, No by 83 points.
Who holds it
67 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them.
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 34%
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
3 more- 45%+$66K vol.Yes 64%No 36%Smart money split
- 55%+$37K vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money: No
- 60%+$21K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
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- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
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- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?"?
67 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 48¢ and No at 53¢, a 53% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
7% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 83 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 84 points. A week ago, No by 83 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.