Who's betting on “Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $66K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 89 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 43 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 64¢ and No at 36¢, a 64% implied chance of Yes. $66K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
89 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them.
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
3 more- 50%+$37K vol.Yes 48%No 53%Smart money: No
- 55%+$37K vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money: No
- 60%+$21K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: No
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- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?"?
89 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 64¢ and No at 36¢, a 64% implied chance of Yes. $66K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.