Who's betting on “Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $23K traded all time
- Held now
- $480 by 79 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 58 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 38% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points. A week ago, Yes by 47 points.
Who holds it
79 wallets hold a position worth $480 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is Rooster12, with $2 on it, $367 lifetime profit over 11 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is WhySoBroke, with $113 on it, $196 lifetime loss over 387 markets (52% won).
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $13
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $467
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$13 on it
- 1Rooster1264% won of 11$2+$367 lifetime
- 20xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-174601274498397% won of 242 · balanced$1+$11K lifetime
- 30x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-17788118175798% won of 32,274 · noise$1+$27K lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$1+$829K lifetime
- 5balthazar53% won of 52,697 · whale$1+$1.2M lifetime
No$467 on it
- 1WhySoBroke52% won of 387$113−$196 lifetime
- 2Wolfgold91% won of 307$101−$496 lifetime
- 3black456274% won of 713 · balanced$90+$452 lifetime
- 4unicornxing100% won of 520 · grinder$47+$57 lifetime
- 5sd4f5g67h8j958% won of 230 · balanced$20+$30K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
5 more- Remain 60–80%$109K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Remain 20–40%$86K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Remain 40–60%$75K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: No
- Remain 80%+$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Leave wins$39K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?"?
79 wallets hold a position worth $480 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is Rooster12, with $2 on it, $367 lifetime profit over 11 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is WhySoBroke, with $113 on it, $196 lifetime loss over 387 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points. A week ago, Yes by 47 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 20, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.