Who's betting on “Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $383 by 78 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 69 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 39% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.
Who holds it
78 wallets hold a position worth $383 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-1746012744983, with $4 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 242 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is rocky42009, with $194 on it, $6.9K lifetime loss over 1,050 markets (52% won).
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $13
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $370
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$13 on it
- 10xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-174601274498397% won of 242 · balanced$4+$11K lifetime
- 20x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-17788118175798% won of 32,274 · noise$1+$27K lifetime
- 3balthazar53% won of 52,447 · whale$1+$1.2M lifetime
- 4iufdhs75% won of 4$1−$28 lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$1+$829K lifetime
No$370 on it
- 1rocky4200952% won of 1,050$194−$6.9K lifetime
- 2black456274% won of 710 · balanced$114+$478 lifetime
- 3sd4f5g67h8j958% won of 230 · balanced$20+$30K lifetime
- 40xCDAf9b4c58345f6509eB8E43943aa5a17B867159-178992067485197% won of 754$16−$84 lifetime
- 5ClosingReaper98% won of 261$10−$49 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
5 more- Remain 60–80%$109K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Remain 20–40%$86K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Remain 40–60%$74K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: No
- Remain <20%$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Leave wins$39K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?"?
78 wallets hold a position worth $383 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-1746012744983, with $4 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 242 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is rocky42009, with $194 on it, $6.9K lifetime loss over 1,050 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 20, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.