Who's betting on “Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?”?
Smart money leans No: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $109K traded all time
- Held now
- $19K by 146 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 42% 85 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 61 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $109K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
The smart money
42% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
Who holds it
146 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 146 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gennedy, with $165 on it, $963 lifetime loss over 203 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is pagliacci4, with $3.5K on it, $15K lifetime loss over 1,552 markets (93% won).
- Holders
- 85
- Money on it
- $327
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $18K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$327 on it
- 1Gennedy79% won of 203$165−$963 lifetime
- 2Jenny4206978% won of 9$71+$46K lifetime
- 3StraddleSeller69% won of 550 · whale$33+$55K lifetime
- 4scottyam37% won of 30$11−$1.7K lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$8+$829K lifetime
No$18K on it
- 1pagliacci493% won of 1,552$3.5K−$15K lifetime
- 2Rex41653% won of 1,854 · whale$2.8K+$33K lifetime
- 3CosmicCedar86% won of 2,023 · whale$2.4K+$28K lifetime
- 40x99Df62d756AF61593fb63c052C62EdF3e0139639-177000503094760% won of 10$1.8K+$75 lifetime
- 5LinaBell69% won of 1,060 · whale$1.7K+$138K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
5 more- Remain 20–40%$86K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Remain 40–60%$74K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: No
- Remain <20%$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Remain 80%+$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Leave wins$39K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?"?
146 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 146 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gennedy, with $165 on it, $963 lifetime loss over 203 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is pagliacci4, with $3.5K on it, $15K lifetime loss over 1,552 markets (93% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $109K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
42% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 20, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.