Who's betting on “Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $86K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.9K by 131 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 90 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 58% 41 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $86K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.
Who holds it
131 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Yes holder is BabyGroot, with $22 on it, $59K lifetime profit over 888 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is lug, with $712 on it, $62K lifetime profit over 1,250 markets (55% won).
- Holders
- 90
- Money on it
- $80
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$80 on it
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
5 more- Remain 60–80%$109K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Remain 40–60%$74K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: No
- Remain <20%$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Remain 80%+$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Leave wins$39K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?"?
131 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Yes holder is BabyGroot, with $22 on it, $59K lifetime profit over 888 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is lug, with $712 on it, $62K lifetime profit over 1,250 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $86K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 20, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.