Who's betting on “Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $74K traded all time
- Held now
- $35K by 137 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 77 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 60 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $74K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.
Who holds it
137 wallets hold a position worth $35K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 137 of them. The largest Yes holder is wubddh, with $11K on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 1,034 markets (91% won). The largest No holder is Jenny42069, with $28 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 9 markets (78% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $69 on Yes.
- Holders
- 77
- Money on it
- $35K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
- Snipers
- 1 · $69
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $96
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$35K on it
- 1wubddh91% won of 1,034 · whale$11K+$2.6K lifetime
- 2secretbro2299% won of 247 · grinder$5.1K+$24 lifetime
- 3Nostdam75% won of 346 · whale$3.6K+$65K lifetime
- 4mrworldwide70% won of 1,445 · whale$3.1K+$219K lifetime
- 5pagliacci493% won of 1,552$2.6K−$15K lifetime
No$96 on it
- 1Jenny4206978% won of 9$28+$46K lifetime
- 2BabyGroot70% won of 888 · whale$20+$59K lifetime
- 3SaylorMoon53% won of 1,101 · whale$18+$537K lifetime
- 4rocky4200952% won of 1,050$7−$6.9K lifetime
- 50xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-174601274498397% won of 242 · balanced$6+$11K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
5 more- Remain 60–80%$109K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Remain 20–40%$86K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Remain <20%$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Remain 80%+$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Leave wins$39K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?"?
137 wallets hold a position worth $35K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 137 of them. The largest Yes holder is wubddh, with $11K on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 1,034 markets (91% won). The largest No holder is Jenny42069, with $28 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 9 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $74K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 20, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.