Who's betting on “Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?
Sports · $532K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $532K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
75% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 60 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 60 points. A week ago, Yes by 57 points.
73 wallets hold a position worth $51 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $3 on it, $131K lifetime profit over 5,427 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is ooops, with $25 on it, $5.8K lifetime loss over 204 markets (65% won).
- Smart money share
- 75%
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $10
- Holders' winrate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 14%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $41
- Holders' winrate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| planktonXDwhale | $3 | +$131K | 76% of 5,427 |
| garbagecollect1whale | $1 | +$4.8K | 62% of 3,911 |
| 53asdad | $1 | -$294 | 10% of 251 |
| resfeber | $1 | -$5.0K | 43% of 1,415 |
| 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702noise | $0 | +$23K | 8% of 27,717 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ooops | $25 | -$5.8K | 65% of 204 |
| NoLoyaltyToTheBosses | $10 | -$1.2K | 91% of 231 |
| productswhale | $3 | +$28K | 48% of 1,149 |
| wokerjoesleeperwhale | $1 | +$592K | 92% of 1,074 |
| 0x75cb…7ba4 | $1 | +$4 | 89% of 56 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
- Justin Gaethje$58K vol.Yes 91%No 9%Smart money: Yes
- Benoît Saint Denis$54K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Arman Tsarukyan$48K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Ilia Topuria$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Max Holloway$21K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Charles Oliveira$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
73 wallets hold a position worth $51 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $3 on it, $131K lifetime profit over 5,427 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is ooops, with $25 on it, $5.8K lifetime loss over 204 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $532K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 60 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 60 points. A week ago, Yes by 57 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.