Who's betting on “Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?
Sports · $12K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
93% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
86 wallets hold a position worth $210 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is Venimous, with $1 on it, $4.8K lifetime profit over 331 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is penguinec, with $98 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 2,403 markets (27% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 93%
- Holders
- 70
- Money on it
- $5
- Holders' winrate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 67%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $205
- Holders' winrate
- 44%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venimouswhale | $1 | +$4.8K | 79% of 331 |
| plainfoldernoise | $0 | +$70K | 27% of 18,032 |
| garbagecollect1whale | $0 | +$4.8K | 62% of 3,911 |
| e46m3whale | $0 | +$1.1M | 47% of 74,403 |
| LornaPredictsnoise | $0 | +$30K | 29% of 10,707 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| penguinecnoise | $98 | +$12K | 27% of 2,403 |
| zhyfacai | $46 | -$2.2K | 51% of 224 |
| resfeber | $13 | -$5.0K | 43% of 1,415 |
| 0x539b…c64fgrinder | $12 | +$77 | 99% of 506 |
| NoLoyaltyToTheBosses | $10 | -$1.2K | 91% of 231 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
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- Max Holloway$21K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
86 wallets hold a position worth $210 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is Venimous, with $1 on it, $4.8K lifetime profit over 331 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is penguinec, with $98 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 2,403 markets (27% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.